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VC investment plays a transformative role, serving as a signal of the commercial potential of climate technologies and prompting established firms to increase their focus on climate solutions.

As the global community grapples with the escalating climate crisis, the need for innovative climate solutions has never been more urgent. Products and services that enable a transition to a low-carbon economy are essential, and climate-tech startups often lead the way. These startups bring groundbreaking technologies to market, addressing the critical challenges of decarbonization, energy storage, and industrial efficiency. Yet, an important question arises: How do established corporations—incumbent firms—respond to these innovative newcomers?

Our research focuses on this dynamic, exploring whether venture capital (VC) financing of climate-tech startups influences corporate strategies in significant ways. We find that VC investment plays a transformative role, serving as a signal of the commercial potential of climate technologies and prompting established firms to increase their focus on climate solutions.

How Venture Capital Shapes Corporate Strategy

Venture capitalists are renowned for their ability to identify and nurture promising innovations. Their investments often reflect not only confidence in a startup’s potential but also broader market demand for the technology it offers. In this way, VC financing serves as a powerful market signal. For incumbent firms operating in similar markets, these signals can influence strategic decisions, prompting them to adjust their product offerings and invest in climate technologies.

Using large language models (LLMs), we quantified how firms incorporate climate-related products and services into their strategies. By analyzing U.S. public firms’ annual 10-K filings, we developed a Climate Solutions (CS) measure that measures a firm’s engagement in climate solutions.

Our findings show that incumbent firms in product markets similar to those of VC-backed startups significantly increased their CS measure following VC investment rounds. This effect was particularly strong when the startups exhibited promising commercial prospects, such as larger investment sizes, higher valuations, and revenue generation.

Factors Amplifying the Impact

The strength of this VC signal depends on several factors. For instance, deals with more significant media coverage and those involving new investors tended to draw greater attention from incumbents. Visibility matters, as it amplifies the perceived importance of the startup and its technology.

Incumbents with a pre-existing focus on climate solutions responded more strongly to VC signals. These firms already possessed complementary assets, such as technical expertise and market presence, which positioned them to capitalize on the growing market for climate technologies. In contrast, firms without prior experience in climate solutions exhibited a weaker response, possibly due to organizational inertia or a lack of necessary capabilities.

The type of VC investor also played a role. Startups backed by high-performing VCs with a track record of success and financial motivation sent stronger signals, leading to more pronounced responses from incumbents. Conversely, investments by impact-focused VCs, which prioritize environmental goals over financial returns, generated weaker responses. This distinction underscores the role of VC investments as a market signal.

From Signals to Action

The implications of these signals extend beyond strategic intent—they translate into tangible actions. Incumbents that increased their focus on climate solutions boosted their investments in research and development, capital expenditures, and product innovation. These firms demonstrated a willingness to allocate resources toward advancing their climate-related offerings, signaling a strategic commitment to future growth in the climate-tech space.

Stock Market Validation

Stock market reactions further validate the role of VC signals in shaping corporate strategies. We found that shareholders of incumbent firms operating in the same industry as VC-backed startups and already have existing engagements in climate solutions reacted positively to news of VC investments. This indicates that market participants view these signals as indicators of new opportunities rather than competitive threats.

Implications for Policymakers and Investors

The ripple effects of VC investments carry important implications for policymakers and investors. For policymakers, fostering a vibrant VC ecosystem for climate-tech startups could accelerate the transition to a low-carbon economy. Policy tools such as tax incentives, research grants, and regulatory support for climate innovation can encourage VC investments and amplify their spillover impact on incumbent firms.

Investors, on the other hand, should consider the broader influence of their capital. VC investments in climate-tech startups are not merely bets on the startups themselves—they have the potential to reshape entire industries. By signaling market demand and technological viability, these investments catalyze systemic change, encouraging established firms to innovate and compete in the climate solutions space.

A Catalyst for Systemic Change

Ultimately, our research highlights the catalytic role of climate-tech startups and their VC investors in driving corporate change. By validating the commercial potential of climate solutions, VC investments incentivize incumbents to align their strategies with the demands of a sustainable future.

This dynamic underscores the importance of collaboration across the innovation ecosystem. Startups, investors, policymakers, and incumbents all have a role to play in advancing climate solutions. Together, these stakeholders can create a virtuous cycle of innovation, investment, and adoption that accelerates progress toward a low-carbon economy.

As we face the growing challenges of climate change, fostering such catalytic effects will be essential. Venture capital has proven to be more than a funding mechanism—it is a driver of systemic transformation, encouraging industries to embrace the technologies and solutions that will define our sustainable future.

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By Shirley Lu (Harvard Business School), George Serafeim (Harvard Business School), and Simon Xu (Harvard Business School)

The ECGI does not, consistent with its constitutional purpose, have a view or opinion. If you wish to respond to this article, you can submit a blog article or 'letter to the editor' by clicking here.

This article features in the ECGI blog collection Governance and Climate Change

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